🔗 Share this article

This Sunday, the Central African Republic will hold a pivotal quadruple election, encompassing the presidency, national assembly, and municipal seats.

A Crowded Presidential Field

Seven candidates are vying for the presidency, among them former prime ministers Anicet Georges Dologuélé and Henri-Marie Dondra. The two were cleared to run by the high court after initial bans. Dologuélé finished second in the last two elections, while Dondra had a short tenure under the incumbent.

Opposition Hopes and Public Discontent

The opposition aims to tap into widespread frustration in a country where violence remains a constant threat. More than half a million people are displaced within their own country, with a similar number living as refugees in neighbouring countries.

"This is an opportunity to acknowledge the significant progress of the country," said a UN regional official, adding that obstacles persist.

The Incumbent's Path

Despite the competition, President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, a one-time academic, is largely predicted to extend his run. He transitioned into politics in 2008 when appointed prime minister, serving until a rebel coalition overthrew the government in 2013, triggering a sectarian conflict.

After a turbulent three-year interim, his perceived impartiality from the main militias fueled his runoff win in 2016.

Election Risks and Voting Challenges

There are fears that logistical problems and violence could mar the electoral process, especially in rural areas. The UN peacekeeping mission, Minusca, is offering protection and organizational aid that the country's weak systems cannot manage.

Further issues involve the electoral roll being published only online, a major hurdle in a nation with limited internet access. These issues have prompted an opposition boycott and could, according to observers, "disenfranchise large segments of the electorate."

Implications of Extended Rule

Many residents worry that another term for Touadéra—made possible by a 2023 constitutional referendum that abolished term limits and lengthened mandates—would mean greater influence for outside interests.

The president has relied on the private military group Wagner for his protection, and even after its founder's death, has pushed back against calls to integrate its fighters into a successor entity. In contrast, Rwanda has pursued a separate strategy, focusing on business ventures within CAR.

Claims of National Disposal

Recent reports have claimed the administration removed its own soldiers from a World Bank-funded facility to accommodate a Rwandan livestock operation. A critical editorial accused the leadership of being "determined to sell off the nation piece by piece."

Despite a newly signed agreement with armed factions offering a glimmer of stabilization, the election moves forward under a cloud of uncertainty and geopolitical rivalry.